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Donald Trump odds on Polymarket

Updated November 9, 2026 · 122 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Donald Trump appears in 122 live Polymarket markets with $47.30M traded. The biggest: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? at 0.4%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 1.4%; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.7%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Donald Trump

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4%—$14.23M2028-11-08
Presidential Election Winner 20281.4%—$11.00M2028-11-08
Republican Presidential Nominee 20280.7%—$9.91M2028-11-08
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.5%-0.1 pts$9.84M2028-11-08
Venezuela leader end of 2026?<0.1%—$1.15M2027-01-01
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?2.9%-0.1 pts$110.9K2027-01-01
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?4.2%-0.5 pts$91.7K2027-04-01
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?2.9%—$88.5K2026-12-31
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?5.5%—$83.1K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?0.4%-0.2 pts$82.0K2027-01-01
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?3.6%-0.2 pts$79.9K2027-04-01
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?2.5%+0.5 pts$74.9K2027-01-01
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 20277.5%—$64.8K2028-04-01
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?2.8%-0.3 pts$49.1K2027-01-02
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?6.5%-0.5 pts$33.8K2027-01-02
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?1.2%—$32.9K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?4.0%-0.1 pts$31.3K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?3.4%—$26.9K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?4.0%-0.5 pts$22.2K2027-01-02
TIME Person of the Year 20266.2%+0.9 pts$20.4K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?8.0%+1.0 pts$17.5K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?4.0%-1.9 pts$17.4K2026-11-10
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?3.8%-0.1 pts$17.1K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?3.3%-1.7 pts$13.5K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?13.5%-14.5 pts$11.1K2026-11-13
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?3.1%+0.1 pts$9.8K2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?2.4%-0.7 pts$9.4K2027-01-02
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?14%+10.2 pts$8.8K2026-11-10
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?2.5%-1.7 pts$8.4K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?3.2%-6.3 pts$8.2K2026-11-10
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?3.6%-0.6 pts$7.0K2026-11-10
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?4.3%-14.6 pts$6.9K2026-11-10
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?2.4%-0.2 pts$6.7K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?28.6%+17.8 pts$6.7K2026-11-10
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?6.5%-1.5 pts$6.1K2028-01-01
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?3.1%—$5.3K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?4.1%-4.9 pts$4.9K2026-10-31
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?4.0%+0.3 pts$4.9K2026-12-31
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?0.8%+0.7 pts$4.6K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?15.5%-10.3 pts$4.2K2026-11-10

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Donald Trump's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/donald-trump.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Donald Trump odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/donald-trump/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Donald Trump's odds on Polymarket?

Donald Trump appears in 122 live Polymarket markets with $47.30M traded. The biggest: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? at 0.4%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 1.4%; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.7%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Donald Trump?

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?: 0.4% with $14.23M traded, as of November 9, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds

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