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Donald Trump odds on Polymarket

Updated September 24, 2026 · 89 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Donald Trump appears in 89 live Polymarket markets with $50.51M traded. The biggest: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? at 0.4%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 1.1%; Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? at 1.8%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Donald Trump

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4%—$13.81M2029-01-21
Presidential Election Winner 20281.1%—$10.64M2028-11-07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.8%—$9.68M2028-11-07
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.1%—$9.59M2028-11-07
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 20261.8%—$5.12M2027-04-01
Venezuela leader end of 2026?<0.1%—$1.15M2027-01-01
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?6.5%+0.5 pts$87.0K2027-04-01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?1.2%-1.2 pts$81.6K2026-09-30
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?4.5%—$69.9K2027-04-01
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?5.2%+0.1 pts$66.5K2027-01-01
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?8.0%-0.4 pts$39.0K2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?0.8%+0.4 pts$16.1K2027-01-01
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?0.4%-0.1 pts$16.0K2026-10-01
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?3.3%-2.5 pts$8.7K2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?1.1%-0.3 pts$7.2K2026-10-01
TIME Person of the Year 202610.5%-2.0 pts$7.1K2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?0.5%-0.1 pts$4.9K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?12%—$4.7K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?14.5%-2.0 pts$3.9K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?46.5%—$3.9K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?12%-4.0 pts$3.8K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026?7.0%—$3.6K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?15.5%+1.0 pts$3.6K2026-10-02
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?8.0%-5.5 pts$3.6K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?7.5%-5.0 pts$3.4K2026-09-29
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?10%-5.0 pts$3.4K2026-09-29
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by September 30, 2026?1.2%-1.1 pts$3.3K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?3.4%-0.5 pts$3.3K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?81%-2.5 pts$3.2K2026-09-28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?22.5%—$3.1K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?72.5%+9.0 pts$2.9K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?30.3%-11.3 pts$2.9K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?49.5%+16.0 pts$2.6K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?16.5%-1.5 pts$2.5K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?52.7%+15.2 pts$2.3K2026-09-25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?1.1%-0.9 pts$2.2K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?1.3%-1.3 pts$2.2K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by September 30, 2026?15%-3.0 pts$2.2K2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?6.5%-1.0 pts$2.2K2026-09-30
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 202611%+0.5 pts$1.9K2026-12-31

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Donald Trump's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/donald-trump.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Frequently asked questions

What are Donald Trump's odds on Polymarket?

Donald Trump appears in 89 live Polymarket markets with $50.51M traded. The biggest: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? at 0.4%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 1.1%; Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? at 1.8%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Donald Trump?

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?: 0.4% with $13.81M traded, as of September 24, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds