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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 23, 2026
As of October 16, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 40-60M at 67.5%, followed by 60-80M at 22.7%, 80-100M at 6.5%. The market has $30.5K in total volume and $30.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40-60M | 67.5% | — | $10.1K |
| 60-80M | 22.7% | — | $5.7K |
| 80-100M | 6.5% | — | $3.4K |
| <40M | 5.0% | — | $6.4K |
| 100-120M | 1.9% | — | $1.2K |
| 140M+ | 1.9% | — | $1.8K |
| 120-140M | 0.7% | — | $1.8K |
Total volume $30.5K · 24h volume $30.5K · Liquidity $16.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 40-60M ■ 60-80M ■ 80-100M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 40-60M at 67.5%, followed by 60-80M at 22.7%, 80-100M at 6.5%. The market has $30.5K in total volume and $30.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 23, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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