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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 3, 2026
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 35–40M at 36%, followed by 30–35M at 25.5%, 40–45M at 25.5%. The market has $24.9K in total volume and $16.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35–40M | 36% | +15.5 pts | $3.8K |
| 30–35M | 25.5% | +14.0 pts | $5.2K |
| 40–45M | 25.5% | -1.5 pts | $5.0K |
| 45–50M | 10% | -3.0 pts | $4.6K |
| 25–30M | 4.2% | — | $3.0K |
| 55M+ | 2.9% | +1.8 pts | $1.1K |
| 50–55M | 2.5% | -8.0 pts | $943 |
| <25M | 0.2% | -2.5 pts | $1.3K |
Total volume $24.9K · 24h volume $16.8K · Liquidity $7.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 35–40M ■ 30–35M ■ 40–45M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 35–40M at 36%, followed by 30–35M at 25.5%, 40–45M at 25.5%. The market has $24.9K in total volume and $16.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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