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Updated October 1, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 10, 2026
As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 100M+ at 30.5%, followed by 90-100M at 27.5%, 80-90M at 25.5%. The market has $30.0K in total volume and $20.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100M+ | 30.5% | +2.5 pts | $10.0K |
| 90-100M | 27.5% | +2.5 pts | $2.4K |
| 80-90M | 25.5% | +3.5 pts | $4.5K |
| 70-80M | 13.5% | -5.5 pts | $5.5K |
| 60-70M | 7.0% | -2.0 pts | $3.0K |
| 50-60M | 1.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K |
| <50M | 0.9% | -0.5 pts | $2.6K |
Total volume $30.0K · 24h volume $20.0K · Liquidity $35.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 100M+ ■ 90-100M ■ 80-90M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 100M+ at 30.5%, followed by 90-100M at 27.5%, 80-90M at 25.5%. The market has $30.0K in total volume and $20.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 10, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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