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Google Gemini odds on Polymarket
Updated September 25, 2026 · 59 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Google Gemini appears in 59 live Polymarket markets with $587.5K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? at 2.1%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? at 98.1%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 24.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Every live market on Google Gemini
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | 2.1% | -5.9 pts | $130.3K | 2026-10-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | 98.1% | +6.1 pts | $123.1K | 2026-10-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | 24.5% | +8.5 pts | $45.6K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | 91.8% | +7.2 pts | $44.7K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | 30.6% | -8.3 pts | $44.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 76% | -7.0 pts | $39.5K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | 79.5% | +5.0 pts | $35.8K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | 64.5% | +4.5 pts | $34.6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | 94.1% | — | $29.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | 44.5% | -8.0 pts | $22.2K | 2026-10-16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | 22.5% | -6.0 pts | $15.0K | 2026-10-18 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? | 3.6% | -15.0 pts | $3.8K | 2026-10-04 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | 14.2% | -2.2 pts | $2.4K | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | 11% | -22.0 pts | $2.2K | 2026-10-16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | 14.8% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | 59.5% | -20.0 pts | $1.7K | 2026-10-24 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026? | 2.0% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K | 2026-09-27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | 20.8% | +10.8 pts | $1.5K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026? | 0.6% | -2.5 pts | $955 | 2026-10-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 28, 2026? | 0.7% | -1.8 pts | $823 | 2026-09-29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 24, 2026? | 0.7% | -2.1 pts | $760 | 2026-09-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026? | 0.6% | -2.1 pts | $653 | 2026-09-30 |
| #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $556 | 2026-09-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 26, 2026? | 0.3% | — | $360 | 2026-09-27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 27, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $312 | 2026-09-28 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 25, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $308 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026? | 4.0% | -8.0 pts | $260 | 2026-10-29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026? | 4.5% | -15.5 pts | $239 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | 23.5% | -1.0 pts | $224 | 2026-10-31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026? | 4.1% | -4.9 pts | $181 | 2026-10-28 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026? | 4.5% | -2.0 pts | $173 | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026? | 10% | +1.5 pts | $116 | 2026-10-30 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026? | 9.0% | +2.0 pts | $107 | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026? | 4.2% | — | $102 | 2026-10-26 |
| #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | 2.5% | -0.5 pts | $100 | 2026-09-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026? | 6.0% | -2.0 pts | $91 | 2026-10-27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 6, 2026? | 4.0% | -2.0 pts | $89 | 2026-10-06 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026? | 4.2% | — | $84 | 2026-10-31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026? | 10.5% | -1.5 pts | $83 | 2026-10-21 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026? | 11% | +0.5 pts | $82 | 2026-10-15 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Google Gemini's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/google-gemini.json (CC BY 4.0).
Cite this data
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move:
Polymarket View, “Google Gemini odds on Polymarket”, September 25, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/google-gemini/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Frequently asked questions
What are Google Gemini's odds on Polymarket?
Google Gemini appears in 59 live Polymarket markets with $587.5K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? at 2.1%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? at 98.1%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 24.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Which Polymarket market has the most money on Google Gemini?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?: 2.1% with $130.3K traded, as of September 25, 2026.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds