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Google Gemini odds on Polymarket
Updated October 9, 2026 · 46 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Google Gemini appears in 46 live Polymarket markets with $917.5K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? at 11.5%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 91.5%; Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? at 29.9%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Every live market on Google Gemini
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 11.5% | -8.5 pts | $152.8K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | 91.5% | +11.0 pts | $135.3K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | 29.9% | -8.5 pts | $58.8K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | 90.5% | +11.0 pts | $57.1K | 2026-10-31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | 30% | -1.0 pts | $54.7K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | 28.5% | +0.4 pts | $52.0K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | 28.8% | -11.8 pts | $50.6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | 5.3% | -0.4 pts | $47.4K | 2026-10-18 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | 28.5% | -4.5 pts | $45.2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | 6.5% | -3.5 pts | $43.3K | 2026-10-16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | 22% | -21.5 pts | $33.0K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | 14.5% | -5.5 pts | $32.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | 0.1% | -4.7 pts | $27.9K | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | 3.2% | -1.1 pts | $21.1K | 2026-10-10 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | 35.5% | -10.5 pts | $18.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | 2.2% | -2.0 pts | $18.4K | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | 44.5% | -2.5 pts | $14.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | 9.0% | -7.0 pts | $11.6K | 2026-10-24 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | 0.8% | -2.6 pts | $10.9K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? | 33% | +4.5 pts | $5.0K | 2026-12-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | 35.5% | -3.5 pts | $4.6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026? | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $3.3K | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026? | 0.4% | -0.3 pts | $2.1K | 2026-10-09 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026? | 1.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K | 2026-10-10 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026? | 0.4% | -2.6 pts | $1.4K | 2026-10-13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026? | 0.7% | — | $1.3K | 2026-10-30 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026? | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K | 2026-10-27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026? | 0.4% | — | $1.1K | 2026-10-26 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026? | 1.1% | — | $1.0K | 2026-10-17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026? | 2.7% | — | $964 | 2026-10-23 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026? | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $827 | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $798 | 2026-10-15 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $795 | 2026-10-28 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026? | 3.6% | -0.4 pts | $697 | 2026-10-20 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 12, 2026? | 1.6% | — | $693 | 2026-10-12 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 14, 2026? | 1.1% | — | $686 | 2026-10-14 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $626 | 2026-10-21 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026? | 0.4% | — | $621 | 2026-10-29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $589 | 2026-10-31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 16, 2026? | 0.1% | — | $500 | 2026-10-16 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Google Gemini's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/google-gemini.json (CC BY 4.0).
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Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Google Gemini odds on Polymarket”, October 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/google-gemini/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Frequently asked questions
What are Google Gemini's odds on Polymarket?
Google Gemini appears in 46 live Polymarket markets with $917.5K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? at 11.5%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 91.5%; Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? at 29.9%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Which Polymarket market has the most money on Google Gemini?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: 11.5% with $152.8K traded, as of October 9, 2026.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds
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