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Resolved market · Category: Other markets · Market end date: December 8, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on <275mm, after $27.3K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| <275mm | 100% | +0.3 pts | $17.3K |
| 300-325mm | 0.0% | — | $1.8K |
| 550mm+ | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K |
| 275-300mm | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.1K |
| 400-450mm | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $1.1K |
| 500-550mm | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K |
| 450-500mm | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $1.0K |
| 350-375mm | 0.0% | — | $899 |
| 375-400mm | 0.0% | -0.8 pts | $775 |
| 325-350mm | 0.0% | — | $480 |
Total volume $27.3K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Weather odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on <275mm, after $27.3K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is December 8, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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