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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: November 11, 2026
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $2.20 to $2.30 at 75%, followed by $2.10 to $2.20 at 11%, $2.30 to $2.40 at 10.5%. The market has $25.0K in total volume and $43 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $2.20 to $2.30 | 75% | +0.5 pts | $8.8K |
| $2.10 to $2.20 | 11% | -2.0 pts | $5.6K |
| $2.30 to $2.40 | 10.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.7K |
| $2.00 to $2.10 | 1.8% | — | $1.1K |
| $1.90 to $2.00 | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| $2.60 to $2.70 | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $559 |
| $2.40 to $2.50 | 0.4% | — | $877 |
| $2.50 to $2.60 | 0.1% | — | $3.3K |
| ≥$2.70 | 0.1% | — | $937 |
| <$1.90 | 0.1% | — | $743 |
Total volume $25.0K · 24h volume $43 · Liquidity $33.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $2.20 to $2.30 ■ $2.10 to $2.20 ■ $2.30 to $2.40 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the October data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The October release is presently scheduled for November 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $2.20 to $2.30 at 75%, followed by $2.10 to $2.20 at 11%, $2.30 to $2.40 at 10.5%. The market has $25.0K in total volume and $43 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 11, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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