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🇧🇷 Versão em português: Governador do Rio Grande do Norte 2026
Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 26, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Cadu de Lula, after $160.9K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadu de Lula | 100% | +61.5 pts | $68.4K |
| Allyson | 0.0% | -60.5 pts | $78.0K |
| Álvaro Dias | 0.0% | — | $7.0K |
| Professor Roberio Paulino | 0.0% | — | $1.3K |
| Rodrigo Bolsonaro | 0.0% | — | $1.3K |
| Henrique Lyra | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
| Carlos Jararaca | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
| Dário Barbosa | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
| Arinalda do MLB | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
| Placeholder 1 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 2 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 3 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 4 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 5 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 6 | 0.0% | — | — |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $160.9K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Cadu de Lula ■ Allyson ■ Álvaro Dias · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Brazil odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Cadu de Lula, after $160.9K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 26, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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