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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 21, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 4.4-4.7% at 34.2%, followed by >5.0% at 33.6%, 4.7-5.0% at 29.3%. The market has $66.8K in total volume and $928 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4-4.7% | 34.2% | +4.3 pts | $22.4K |
| >5.0% | 33.6% | +1.8 pts | $15.1K |
| 4.7-5.0% | 29.3% | -4.0 pts | $9.7K |
| 2.6-2.9% | 2.1% | +1.4 pts | $2.4K |
| 4.1-4.4% | 1.7% | -5.4 pts | $4.7K |
| 3.8-4.1% | 0.9% | -0.4 pts | $4.0K |
| 3.5-3.8% | 0.9% | -1.1 pts | $2.4K |
| 2.9-3.2% | 0.8% | -0.3 pts | $2.1K |
| 3.2-3.5% | 0.6% | -0.4 pts | $2.1K |
| <2.6% | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $2.0K |
Total volume $66.8K · 24h volume $928 · Liquidity $9.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 4.4-4.7% ■ >5.0% ■ 4.7-5.0% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 4.4-4.7% at 34.2%, followed by >5.0% at 33.6%, 4.7-5.0% at 29.3%. The market has $66.8K in total volume and $928 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 21, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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