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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: November 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 87%, followed by November 30 at 69.5%, October 31 at 61.5%. The market has $116.6K in total volume and $12.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 87% | +44.0 pts | $3.5K |
| November 30 | 69.5% | +35.0 pts | $3.0K |
| October 31 | 61.5% | +45.0 pts | $26.8K |
| September 30 | 16% | +11.0 pts | $43.0K |
| August 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -2.5 pts | $40.3K |
Total volume $116.6K · 24h volume $12.6K · Liquidity $2.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31 ■ November 30 ■ October 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 87%, followed by November 30 at 69.5%, October 31 at 61.5%. The market has $116.6K in total volume and $12.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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