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Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 7, 2026 at 17:24 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 2.2%. The market has $200.8K in total volume and $375 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 2.2% | -0.2 pts | $65.0K |
| By July 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $65.9K |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $57.1K |
| By June 15 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $12.7K |
Total volume $200.8K · 24h volume $375 · Liquidity $45.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 7, 2026 at 17:24 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 2.2%. The market has $200.8K in total volume and $375 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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