Home › Polymarket odds › Economy & Fed
Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 21, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.5–3.9% at 62.7%, followed by 3.0–3.4% at 10%, 4.0-4.4% at 9.0%. The market has $128.7K in total volume and $7.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–3.9% | 62.7% | +19.0 pts | $52.9K |
| 3.0–3.4% | 10% | -3.0 pts | $1.2K |
| 4.0-4.4% | 9.0% | -6.8 pts | $15.4K |
| 4.5%+ | 5.5% | -4.5 pts | $9.8K |
| 2.5–2.9% | 4.7% | -5.3 pts | $23.5K |
| 1.5–1.9% | 2.3% | -4.2 pts | $3.2K |
| 2.0–2.4% | 2.2% | -0.2 pts | $19.2K |
| 1.0–1.4% | 1.9% | -0.2 pts | $2.0K |
| <1.0% | 0.2% | — | $1.3K |
Total volume $128.7K · 24h volume $7.6K · Liquidity $11.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 3.5–3.9% ■ 3.0–3.4% ■ 4.0-4.4% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: United Kingdom odds · Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.5–3.9% at 62.7%, followed by 3.0–3.4% at 10%, 4.0-4.4% at 9.0%. The market has $128.7K in total volume and $7.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 21, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026/">U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 — Polymarket odds”, September 26, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026.svg" alt="U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog