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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 18, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Fry at 63.9%, followed by Ken Sim at 28.5%, Kareem Allam at 5.1%. The market has $210.8K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Fry | 63.9% | +1.9 pts | $35.7K |
| Ken Sim | 28.5% | +3.0 pts | $40.2K |
| Kareem Allam | 5.1% | -0.2 pts | $73.2K |
| John Coupar | 2.1% | +0.8 pts | $6.0K |
| Colleen Hardwick | 1.3% | — | $5.7K |
| Fred Harding | 0.9% | — | $3.7K |
| Kirk LaPointe | 0.8% | +0.3 pts | $4.4K |
| Rebecca Bligh | 0.7% | — | $5.4K |
| William Azaroff | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $20.1K |
| Amanda Burrows | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $3.5K |
| Sean Orr | 0.3% | — | $3.7K |
| Tim Louis | 0.2% | — | $7.6K |
| Stephanie Allen | 0.1% | — | $1.8K |
Total volume $210.8K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $171.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Pete Fry ■ Ken Sim ■ Kareem Allam · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Canada odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Fry at 63.9%, followed by Ken Sim at 28.5%, Kareem Allam at 5.1%. The market has $210.8K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 18, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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