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Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner — Polymarket Odds

Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 18, 2026

This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Pete Fry, after $310.0K of total trading volume.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Pete Fry100%
+40.9 pts$65.9K
Kareem Allam0.0%
-0.2 pts$88.7K
Ken Sim0.0%
-41.9 pts$80.8K
William Azaroff0.0%
—$22.6K
Tim Louis0.0%
—$9.1K
John Coupar0.0%
—$7.1K
Colleen Hardwick0.0%
—$7.0K
Rebecca Bligh0.0%
—$6.4K
Kirk LaPointe0.0%
—$5.7K
Fred Harding0.0%
—$4.7K
Sean Orr0.0%
—$4.5K
Amanda Burrows0.0%
—$4.4K
Stephanie Allen0.0%
—$3.0K
Person B0.0%
——
Person C0.0%
——

24 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $310.0K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 18

■ Pete Fry ■ Kareem Allam ■ Ken Sim · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner?

This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Pete Fry, after $310.0K of total trading volume.

When does the Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner market end?

The event's listed end date is October 18, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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