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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 14.5%. The market has $629.7K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 14.5% | — | $137.5K |
| By January 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $305.1K |
| By March 31 (settled) | 0.0% | +0.4 pts | $187.1K |
Total volume $629.7K · 24h volume $5.7K · Liquidity $13.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.
This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Venezuela odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 14.5%. The market has $629.7K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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