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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 30, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on -No Qualifying Event-, after $36.6K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| -No Qualifying Event- | 100% | +0.9 pts | $4.2K |
| Reform | 0.0% | -1.3 pts | $9.7K |
| Mr Speaker 12+ times | 0.0% | -0.7 pts | $6.0K |
| Trump | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $5.1K |
| King / Queen | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.6K |
| Budget | 0.0% | -0.9 pts | $1.5K |
| Defence | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.4K |
| Mr Speaker 20+ times | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.3K |
| Mr Speaker 30+ times | 0.0% | -1.9 pts | $1.3K |
| Immigration | 0.0% | -1.3 pts | $1.1K |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 0.0% | -1.3 pts | $1.1K |
| Scotland | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.0K |
| NHS | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $568 |
| Wales | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $428 |
| Northern Ireland | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $243 |
Total volume $36.6K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: United Kingdom odds · Politics odds · Pop Culture odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on -No Qualifying Event-, after $36.6K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is September 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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