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What will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by? — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: December 1, 2026

As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Projectiles (again) at 86%, followed by Lava (again) at 82%, Explosions (4th market) at 78.5%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $13.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Falling (settled)100%
+12.4 pts$2.5K
Drowning (again) (settled)100%
—$2.1K
Explosions (again) (settled)100%
—$2.0K
Projectiles (settled)100%
+3.3 pts$1.9K
Lava (settled)100%
+20.9 pts$1.8K
Explosions (settled)100%
+0.9 pts$1.5K
Drowning (settled)100%
+54.4 pts$1.0K
Falling (again) (settled)100%
—$795
Falling (3rd market) (settled)100%
—$454
Explosions (3rd market) (settled)100%
—$432
Projectiles (again)86%
—$558
Lava (again)82%
—$435
Explosions (4th market)78.5%
—$40
Fire67.4%
-29.1 pts$1.7K
Falling (4th market)52%
—$40

5 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $20.3K · 24h volume $13.3K · Liquidity $1.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6Oct 7

■ Projectiles (again) ■ Lava (again) ■ Explosions (4th market) · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, without any of the three dying in-game.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message listed in the Java Edition section of https://minecraft.wiki/w/Death_messages (as that page appeared at market creation) for the specified damage type is displayed for any of Jynxzi, Ron, or Los following an in-game death during the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Every death message listed for that damage type will count. The category of the in-game death is what matters, not the mob or player involved. Death messages listed for any other damage type on that page, or under the Bedrock Edition section, will not count, even where the cause of in-game death appears related.

A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.

Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by any of the three players. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.

Only in-game deaths of the three accounts played by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game.

Deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point.

Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.

This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time."

The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by?

As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Projectiles (again) at 86%, followed by Lava (again) at 82%, Explosions (4th market) at 78.5%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $13.3K in the last 24 hours.

When does the What will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by market end?

The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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