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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is MGM Resorts at 28.5%, followed by Viking Therapeutics at 13.5%, Perplexity AI at 12.5%. The market has $18.27M in total volume and $10.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pizza Hut (settled) | 100% | +4.0 pts | $613.1K |
| Cursor (settled) | 100% | +11.9 pts | $69.2K |
| Caesars Entertainment (settled) | 100% | +43.5 pts | $62.4K |
| Warner Bros. Discovery (settled) | 100% | +5.3 pts | $6.1K |
| iRobot (settled) | 100% | +73.5 pts | $3.3K |
| MGM Resorts | 28.5% | — | $25.8K |
| Viking Therapeutics | 13.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.71M |
| Perplexity AI | 12.5% | — | $2.39M |
| Snapchat | 12.2% | — | $146.5K |
| PayPal | 11.5% | -2.0 pts | $109.5K |
| Brown-Forman | 11.5% | — | $7.2K |
| Zoom Video Communications | 6.6% | -2.2 pts | $430.1K |
| GitLab | 6.3% | -2.8 pts | $1.19M |
| Lovable | 3.1% | -2.4 pts | $984.1K |
| BP | 2.9% | — | $1.06M |
4 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $18.27M · 24h volume $10.4K · Liquidity $100.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ MGM Resorts ■ Viking Therapeutics ■ Perplexity AI · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds · Big Tech odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is MGM Resorts at 28.5%, followed by Viking Therapeutics at 13.5%, Perplexity AI at 12.5%. The market has $18.27M in total volume and $10.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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