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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 2, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan at 21.5%, followed by Germany at 20%, Saudi Arabia at 13.5%. The market has $662.2K in total volume and $66 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| China (settled) | 100% | +0.2 pts | $121.7K |
| Switzerland (settled) | 100% | +0.1 pts | $54.3K |
| Turkey (settled) | 100% | +0.2 pts | $52.3K |
| France (settled) | 100% | +0.9 pts | $46.5K |
| United Kingdom (settled) | 100% | +52.4 pts | $35.2K |
| Ireland (settled) | 100% | +1.2 pts | $12.2K |
| Japan | 21.5% | -1.0 pts | $16.1K |
| Germany | 20% | -0.5 pts | $19.7K |
| Saudi Arabia | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | $895 |
| Portugal | 11.3% | +0.8 pts | $151 |
| Canada | 11% | +2.5 pts | $4.6K |
| Israel | 10.5% | -2.0 pts | $30.4K |
| Italy | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $30.7K |
| South Korea | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $16.7K |
| India | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $15.3K |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $662.2K · 24h volume $66 · Liquidity $17.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Japan ■ Germany ■ Saudi Arabia · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan at 21.5%, followed by Germany at 20%, Saudi Arabia at 13.5%. The market has $662.2K in total volume and $66 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 2, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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