Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Saudi Arabia at 8.5%, followed by Kuwait at 8.5%, Somaliland at 8.0%. The market has $1.67M in total volume and $298 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 8.5% | — | $352.2K |
| Kuwait | 8.5% | — | $76.5K |
| Somaliland | 8.0% | -1.0 pts | $117.1K |
| Lebanon | 8.0% | — | $77.0K |
| Syria | 6.8% | — | $164.5K |
| Jordan | 6.5% | — | $10.0K |
| Egypt | 5.9% | -0.2 pts | $7.4K |
| Oman | 5.1% | — | $182.2K |
| Qatar | 5.1% | +0.1 pts | $8.8K |
| Azerbaijan | 4.7% | -0.3 pts | $176.1K |
| Pakistan | 3.1% | — | $9.1K |
| Turkey | 2.9% | — | $487.8K |
Total volume $1.67M · 24h volume $298 · Liquidity $145.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Saudi Arabia ■ Kuwait ■ Somaliland · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Israel odds · Middle East odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Saudi Arabia at 8.5%, followed by Kuwait at 8.5%, Somaliland at 8.0%. The market has $1.67M in total volume and $298 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/">Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? — Polymarket odds”, September 23, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog