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Updated October 22, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 27, 2026
As of October 22, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ra'am at 96.2%, followed by RZP-Zehut at 93%, Reservists and New Economic Party at 46%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'am | 96.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| RZP-Zehut | 93% | +4.0 pts | $5.5K |
| Reservists and New Economic Party | 46% | — | $5.2K |
| Amcha Yisrael | 43.5% | +19.0 pts | $6.9K |
| Blue & White | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K |
Total volume $20.5K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $79.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ra'am ■ RZP-Zehut ■ Reservists and New Economic Party · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 22, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ra'am at 96.2%, followed by RZP-Zehut at 93%, Reservists and New Economic Party at 46%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 27, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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