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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Matan Kahana at 87%, followed by Gadi Eisenkot at 3.8%, Yair Lapid at 3.4%. The market has $30.2K in total volume and $207 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matan Kahana | 87% | -6.5 pts | $3.8K |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 3.8% | -0.1 pts | $2.3K |
| Yair Lapid | 3.4% | +2.1 pts | $5.8K |
| Hili Tropper | 1.1% | — | $483 |
| Amir Ohana | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $1.9K |
| Oded Forer | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Orna Barbivai | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $930 |
| Naftali Bennett | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Elazar Stern | 0.4% | — | $716 |
| Gilad Kariv | 0.1% | — | $897 |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 0.1% | — | $869 |
| No speaker by Feb 28 | 0.1% | — | $466 |
| Ofir Katz | <0.1% | — | $1.5K |
| Ahmad Tibi | <0.1% | — | $1.2K |
| Yuli Edelstein | <0.1% | — | $1.2K |
8 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $30.2K · 24h volume $207 · Liquidity $84.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Matan Kahana ■ Gadi Eisenkot ■ Yair Lapid · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count.
If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Israel odds · Middle East odds · Politics odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Matan Kahana at 87%, followed by Gadi Eisenkot at 3.8%, Yair Lapid at 3.4%. The market has $30.2K in total volume and $207 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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