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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Eric Trump at 5.9%, followed by Changpeng Zhao (CZ) at 1.6%, Donald Trump Jr. at 1.1%. The market has $88.3K in total volume and $15.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Winkelmann (Beeple) (settled) | 100% | — | $2.3K |
| Eric Trump | 5.9% | -0.1 pts | $30.5K |
| Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | 1.6% | -0.2 pts | $14.2K |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1.1% | -0.3 pts | $7.2K |
| Elon Musk | 0.7% | — | $18.0K |
| Donald Trump | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $16.0K |
Total volume $88.3K · 24h volume $15.9K · Liquidity $9.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Eric Trump ■ Changpeng Zhao (CZ) ■ Donald Trump Jr. · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified person posts a qualifying textual reference to Hunter Biden's Laptop memecoin ($LAPTOP) on their accounts listed below between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant accounts are:
Donald Trump: X - @realDonaldTrump; Truth Social - @realDonaldTrump
Elon Musk: X - @elonmusk
Donald Trump Jr.: X - @DonaldJTrumpJr; Truth Social- @DonaldJTrumpJr
Eric Trump: X - @EricTrump; Truth Social - @EricTrump
Changpeng Zhao (CZ): X- @cz_binance
Mike Winkelmann (Beeple): X - @beeple
To qualify, a post's text must clearly refer to Hunter Biden's Laptop memecoin through language such as "Laptop Coin", "Laptop Token", "$Laptop", "Hunter Biden's New Coin", or an equivalently clear reference to the token. The word "laptop" alone, without context that clearly identifies the token, will not qualify. References solely to Hunter Biden's physical laptop, the Hunter Biden laptop controversy, its contents, related investigations, or any associated political events will not alone qualify.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by such accounts in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts counts toward a "Yes" resolution, but text within quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution only if a qualifying reference appears in text within the content (e.g., "$LAPTOP" spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify; a reference appearing only within an animated .gif or video will not). Words spoken aloud in videos, livestreams, or audio content will not count toward a "Yes" resolution; only posted text qualifies.
Posts published from an account during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by the account owner or the platform, do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be X & Truth Social, specifically the account pages for the listed accounts.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Eric Trump at 5.9%, followed by Changpeng Zhao (CZ) at 1.6%, Donald Trump Jr. at 1.1%. The market has $88.3K in total volume and $15.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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