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Elon Musk odds on Polymarket

Updated November 9, 2026 · 150 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Elon Musk appears in 150 live Polymarket markets with $62.50M traded. The biggest: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.2%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 0.1%; Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? at 0.4%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Elon Musk

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Republican Presidential Nominee 20280.2%—$32.02M2028-11-08
Presidential Election Winner 20280.1%—$28.40M2028-11-08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?0.4%+0.1 pts$172.8K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<0.1%-1.2 pts$110.0K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?28%+17.6 pts$82.8K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?5.9%+3.6 pts$78.3K2026-11-10
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?10.2%-0.5 pts$69.5K2027-01-01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?6.7%-14.1 pts$69.4K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?39.2%+16.3 pts$59.2K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?80.5%-6.0 pts$57.5K2026-12-01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?14.5%-9.0 pts$52.5K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%-0.7 pts$46.8K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?69.5%+52.0 pts$46.4K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%-0.4 pts$45.5K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?2.9%-9.1 pts$45.4K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?1.0%-4.0 pts$45.4K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?0.4%+0.1 pts$41.7K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?0.4%-2.5 pts$39.8K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<0.1%-2.3 pts$38.0K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%-0.2 pts$37.5K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?1.1%-26.9 pts$36.3K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<0.1%-0.3 pts$36.1K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%—$33.4K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?0.2%-1.0 pts$32.2K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%-0.1 pts$32.0K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?30.5%-9.0 pts$28.4K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<0.1%-0.1 pts$28.2K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?0.5%-10.9 pts$27.7K2026-11-09
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%—$25.1K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%—$24.6K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?0.8%+0.4 pts$23.3K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<0.1%-0.1 pts$19.8K2026-11-13
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?0.8%—$18.8K2027-04-01
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?<0.1%—$17.9K2026-11-10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?5.9%+3.5 pts$17.0K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?0.1%-0.1 pts$16.9K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<0.1%-0.1 pts$16.6K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?0.4%-0.4 pts$15.3K2026-11-13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?1.6%+0.8 pts$15.2K2026-11-13
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?60.5%+1.0 pts$15.1K2026-12-01

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Elon Musk's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/elon-musk.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Cite this data

Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Elon Musk odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/elon-musk/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Elon Musk's odds on Polymarket?

Elon Musk appears in 150 live Polymarket markets with $62.50M traded. The biggest: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.2%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 0.1%; Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? at 0.4%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Elon Musk?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: 0.2% with $32.02M traded, as of November 9, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds

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