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Updated October 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 28, 2026
As of October 23, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 54.5%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 37.5%, Naftali Bennett at 3.1%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $3.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 54.5% | — | $7.9K |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 37.5% | +5.0 pts | $2.7K |
| Naftali Bennett | 3.1% | +2.5 pts | $695 |
| Yair Lapid | 0.9% | — | $575 |
| Gilad Erdan | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $622 |
| Yair Golan | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $784 |
| Nir Barkat | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $587 |
| Yariv Levin | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $541 |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $501 |
| Amir Ohana | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $469 |
| Ayelet Shaked | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $815 |
| Yossi Cohen | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $816 |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $584 |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $497 |
| Ofer Winter | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $476 |
4 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.7K · 24h volume $3.9K · Liquidity $198.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Gadi Eizenkot ■ Benjamin Netanyahu ■ Naftali Bennett · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 23, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 54.5%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 37.5%, Naftali Bennett at 3.1%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $3.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 28, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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