Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Dong Jun at 10.1%, followed by Zhang Shengmin at 5.8%, Zhao Leji at 4.5%. The market has $222.8K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dong Jun | 10.1% | -5.3 pts | $41.0K |
| Zhang Shengmin | 5.8% | +0.4 pts | $30.4K |
| Zhao Leji | 4.5% | +0.3 pts | $12.8K |
| Wang Yi | 4.3% | -0.2 pts | $15.8K |
| Wang Huning | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $12.7K |
| Cai Qi | 3.6% | -1.1 pts | $52.6K |
| Ding Xuexiang | 3.6% | +0.4 pts | $17.3K |
| Li Qiang | 3.4% | +0.4 pts | $10.6K |
| Li Xi | 1.8% | -6.9 pts | $29.5K |
Total volume $222.8K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $117.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Dong Jun ■ Zhang Shengmin ■ Zhao Leji · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: China & Taiwan odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Dong Jun at 10.1%, followed by Zhang Shengmin at 5.8%, Zhao Leji at 4.5%. The market has $222.8K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026/">Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026.svg" alt="Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog