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Resolved market · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: January 1, 2027
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By December 31, By October 31, after $1.21M of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 100% | +0.1 pts | $750.8K |
| By October 31 | 100% | +0.1 pts | $129.8K |
| By September 30 | 0.0% | — | $126.1K |
| By September 15 | 0.0% | — | $83.3K |
| By September 10 | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $66.8K |
| By September 9 | 0.0% | -0.9 pts | $52.5K |
Total volume $1.21M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 ■ By October 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Big Tech odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By December 31, By October 31, after $1.21M of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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