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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By September 30, By December 31, after $461.6K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By September 30 | 100% | +0.7 pts | $203.1K |
| By December 31 | 100% | +0.8 pts | $102.1K |
| By July 31 | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $153.9K |
| By August 31 | 0.0% | — | $2.5K |
Total volume $461.6K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Israel odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By September 30, By December 31, after $461.6K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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