Home › Polymarket vs DraftKings Predictions
Facts checked September 24, 2026 against each platform's own pages, filings and news reports · numbered sources below
DraftKings Predictions launched on December 19, 2025 as a standalone app, starting with sports and finance markets [1]. Like Robinhood it is a broker rather than the exchange: DraftKings' subsidiary GUS III LLC is a CFTC-registered introducing broker, Wedbush holds customer funds as the futures commission merchant, and exchanges such as CME list the contracts [2][3]. Polymarket runs its own venues: Polymarket.com internationally and the CFTC-regulated Polymarket US for US residents [4][5].
| Polymarket | DraftKings Predictions | |
|---|---|---|
| Who runs it | Two products: the international Polymarket.com, and Polymarket US, operated by QCX LLC [6][7] | GUS III LLC, a DraftKings subsidiary registered with the CFTC as an introducing broker and an NFA member [2] |
| Regulation | Polymarket.com says it is not regulated by the CFTC; Polymarket US is a CFTC designated contract market and clearing organization [6][5] | Customer accounts sit with the futures commission merchant Wedbush; CME and Crypto.com | Derivatives North America list, clear and settle the contracts; DraftKings bought the Railbird exchange in October 2025 [2][18] |
| Who can use it | Polymarket.com is blocked in 39 countries, including the US, UK, France and Germany; US residents use the separate Polymarket US app (18+, identity check) [8][4][7] | US residents 18 and older who are physically in an eligible jurisdiction (not on tribal land); DraftKings reports operating in 47 jurisdictions [3][19][2] |
| Money | Polymarket.com: pUSD, a token backed 1:1 by USDC on Polygon; Polymarket US: US dollars [9][5] | US dollars held by the futures commission merchant, not by DraftKings [3] |
| Trading fees | Polymarket.com: takers pay shares x rate x p x (1-p), with a rate from 0 (geopolitics) to 0.07 (crypto); Polymarket US: takers pay 0.0695 x contracts x p x (1-p) and makers get a rebate [10][11] | $0.01 per contract per side at launch, plus fees set by the exchange [20] |
| Deposits and withdrawals | Polymarket.com: crypto deposits from several chains, no Polymarket fee; Polymarket US: card or ACH up to $50,000 a day, wire from $1,000, free withdrawals [12][10][13][14] | Handled through the futures commission merchant rather than DraftKings [3] |
| Limits | Polymarket US sets no trading size limits [15] | Not stated in the documents we checked |
| Markets | Politics, sports, crypto, economics, culture, weather, tech and more [5][10] | Sports and finance at launch, with entertainment and culture planned [1] |
| How markets settle | Polymarket.com: UMA optimistic oracle with a 2-hour challenge window and a UMA vote on disputes; Polymarket US: the exchange applies each market's listed sources [16][17] | The listing exchanges and clearinghouses clear and settle contracts [2][3] |
All current prices: Polymarket odds today · fees on a real order: Polymarket fee calculator · where Polymarket is available
It is a prediction-market product in which DraftKings acts as an introducing broker; the contracts are listed on CFTC-regulated exchanges such as CME. Class actions filed in July and August 2026 allege that it offers unlawful sports betting in some states. [2][18]
At launch DraftKings listed a commission of $0.01 per contract per side plus exchange fees. Polymarket US charges takers 0.0695 x contracts x p x (1-p), at most $1.74 per 100 contracts at 50 cents, and pays makers a rebate. [20][11]
DraftKings acquired Railbird Exchange, a CFTC-designated exchange, in October 2025, and in June 2026 unveiled DKeX, an exchange powered by Railbird. [18][21]
More comparisons: Polymarket vs Kalshi (live odds) · Polymarket vs PredictIt · Polymarket vs Manifold · Polymarket vs Robinhood · Polymarket vs Crypto.com · Polymarket vs ForecastEx (Interactive Brokers) · Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, DraftKings Predictions or any exchange. Rules, fees and availability change; check each platform before you sign up. Educational information, not financial advice.