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Guide with a live order book · updated September 23, 2026
An order book lists every resting order to buy (bids) and sell (asks) an outcome. On September 23, 2026 the book for 25 bps increase in “Fed Decision in October?” showed a best bid of 67.0¢ (58,487 shares) and a best ask of 68.0¢ (25,482 shares): a 1.0¢ spread around a 67.5¢ midpoint — the number Polymarket shows as the probability.
| Price | Shares | Cumulative $ |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0¢ | 58,487 | $39,186 |
| 66.0¢ | 60,111 | $78,860 |
| 65.0¢ | 2,668 | $80,594 |
| 64.0¢ | 2,536 | $82,217 |
| 63.0¢ | 6,150 | $86,092 |
| 62.0¢ | 5,000 | $89,192 |
| 61.0¢ | 3,784 | $91,500 |
| 60.0¢ | 4,528 | $94,217 |
| Price | Shares | Cumulative $ |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0¢ | 25,482 | $17,328 |
| 69.0¢ | 104,920 | $89,723 |
| 70.0¢ | 35,914 | $114,862 |
| 71.0¢ | 28,964 | $135,427 |
| 72.0¢ | 6,205 | $139,895 |
| 73.0¢ | 562 | $140,305 |
| 74.0¢ | 10,392 | $147,995 |
| 75.0¢ | 12,010 | $157,003 |
Tick size 0.01 · minimum order 5 shares · last trade 32.0¢ · snapshot September 23, 2026, refreshed twice a day.
| Spend | Shares | Average price | vs best ask |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 147 | 68.00¢ | +0.00¢ |
| $1,000 | 1,471 | 68.00¢ | +0.00¢ |
| $10,000 | 14,706 | 68.00¢ | +0.00¢ |
| $50,000 | 72,833 | 68.65¢ | +0.65¢ |
Walks the asks from the cheapest up; fees not included (see Polymarket fees).
Every market has two outcome shares that together pay $1. Buying YES at 68¢ is economically the same as selling NO at 32¢, so the YES and NO books mirror each other: a bid for YES at p appears as an ask for NO at 1 − p.
The gap between the best ask (lowest sell price) and the best bid (highest buy price). Liquid markets often trade with a 1¢ spread; thin markets can be several cents wide.
The displayed probability is the midpoint of the spread (or the last trade when the spread is wide). A market buy pays the ask — and more if your order is larger than the shares offered at the best price — plus any taker fee.
Use limit orders at the price you want, split large orders, and check the depth first: the table above shows what spending $100 to $50,000 would cost right now.
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