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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 31, 2026
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Rihanna at 66.5%, followed by The Weeknd at 31%, Taylor Swift at <0.1%. The market has $27.5K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rihanna | 66.5% | +24.0 pts | $13.6K |
| The Weeknd | 31% | -23.5 pts | $9.9K |
| Taylor Swift | <0.1% | — | $413 |
| Michael Jackson | <0.1% | — | $361 |
| Drake | <0.1% | — | $352 |
| Bad Bunny | <0.1% | — | $351 |
| Shakira | <0.1% | — | $351 |
| Billie Eilish | <0.1% | — | $351 |
| Ed Sheeran | <0.1% | — | $349 |
| Bruno Mars | <0.1% | — | $296 |
| Ariana Grande | <0.1% | — | $281 |
| Justin Bieber | <0.1% | — | $281 |
| Lady Gaga | <0.1% | — | $281 |
| Coldplay | <0.1% | — | $281 |
Total volume $27.5K · 24h volume $1.7K · Liquidity $14.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Rihanna ■ The Weeknd ■ Taylor Swift · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Rihanna at 66.5%, followed by The Weeknd at 31%, Taylor Swift at <0.1%. The market has $27.5K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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