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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 1.1% (No 98.9%), with $34.0K traded in total and $976 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.1% | -0.3 pts | $34.0K |
| No | 98.9% | +0.3 pts | — |
Total volume $34.0K · 24h volume $976 · Liquidity $3.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 1.1% (No 98.9%), with $34.0K traded in total and $976 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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