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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: November 26, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 25 bps hike at 47.5%, followed by No Change at 33.5%, 50+ bps hike at 11.8%. The market has $29.3K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps hike | 47.5% | +3.0 pts | $10.8K |
| No Change | 33.5% | -10.5 pts | $15.7K |
| 50+ bps hike | 11.8% | -10.2 pts | $988 |
| 25 bps cut | 1.5% | +0.9 pts | $748 |
| 50+ bps cut | 0.1% | — | $1.1K |
Total volume $29.3K · 24h volume $2.3K · Liquidity $14.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 25 bps hike ■ No Change ■ 50+ bps hike · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 25 bps hike at 47.5%, followed by No Change at 33.5%, 50+ bps hike at 11.8%. The market has $29.3K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 26, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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