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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: October 24, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is No Change at 70%, followed by Decrease at 29%, Increase at 2.8%. The market has $41.6K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 70% | — | $15.0K |
| Decrease | 29% | +1.5 pts | $12.3K |
| Increase | 2.8% | -0.1 pts | $14.3K |
Total volume $41.6K · 24h volume $1.7K · Liquidity $16.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ No Change ■ Decrease ■ Increase · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Russia–Ukraine War odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is No Change at 70%, followed by Decrease at 29%, Increase at 2.8%. The market has $41.6K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 24, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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