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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Morgan Wallen at 73%, followed by Taylor Swift at 3.2%, The Weeknd at 1.4%. The market has $244.3K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wallen | 73% | -4.7 pts | $125.3K |
| Taylor Swift | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $2.9K |
| The Weeknd | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K |
| Post Malone | 0.9% | -1.7 pts | $2.2K |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0.6% | — | $17.5K |
| Billie Eilish | 0.6% | — | $3.3K |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0.6% | — | $2.8K |
| Drake | 0.5% | — | $2.8K |
| Bad Bunny | 0.4% | — | $2.2K |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0.1% | — | $60.0K |
| Ed Sheeran | 0.1% | — | $9.1K |
| SZA | 0.1% | — | $4.7K |
| Zach Bryan | 0.1% | — | $2.6K |
| Tyler, The Creator | 0.1% | — | $2.6K |
| Luke Combs | 0.1% | — | $2.6K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $244.3K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $44.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Morgan Wallen ■ Taylor Swift ■ The Weeknd · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart.
If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Morgan Wallen at 73%, followed by Taylor Swift at 3.2%, The Weeknd at 1.4%. The market has $244.3K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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