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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 13, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Patient Zero - Taylor Swift at 73.4%, followed by Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 13.1%, Boston - Stella Lefty at 0.5%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $15.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 73.4% | +19.4 pts | $4.9K |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 13.1% | -26.5 pts | $13.9K |
| Boston - Stella Lefty | 0.5% | — | $420 |
| Be Her - Ella Langley | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $316 |
| Drake & Don Toliver - Solar Eclipse | 0.2% | — | $313 |
| Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 0.1% | — | $496 |
| hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande | <0.1% | — | $311 |
| I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift | <0.1% | — | $310 |
Total volume $20.9K · 24h volume $15.8K · Liquidity $14.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Patient Zero - Taylor Swift ■ Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley ■ Boston - Stella Lefty · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 17, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Patient Zero - Taylor Swift at 73.4%, followed by Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 13.1%, Boston - Stella Lefty at 0.5%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $15.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 13, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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