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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is agent at 18%, followed by vibe at 6.5%, rot at 6.5%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| agent | 18% | +3.5 pts | $8.5K |
| vibe | 6.5% | — | $3.2K |
| rot | 6.5% | — | $610 |
| lore | 5.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.0K |
| bait | 4.4% | -0.2 pts | $545 |
| maxx | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $2.1K |
| rage | 3.7% | -0.4 pts | $303 |
| slop | 3.6% | -0.2 pts | $1.0K |
| larp | 1.9% | -2.5 pts | $823 |
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $8.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ agent ■ vibe ■ rot · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Cambridge Dictionary contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.
Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.
If Cambridge Dictionary does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cambridge Dictionary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is agent at 18%, followed by vibe at 6.5%, rot at 6.5%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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