Home › Polymarket odds › Culture & Entertainment
Updated October 11, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: December 31, 2027
As of October 11, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No actor chosen by end of 2027 at 38%, followed by Emma Myers at 34%, McKenna Grace at 19.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| No actor chosen by end of 2027 | 38% | +1.5 pts | $9.0K |
| Emma Myers | 34% | +5.5 pts | $4.2K |
| McKenna Grace | 19.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.8K |
| Emma Stone | 4.4% | — | $226 |
| Ester Expósito | 1.6% | — | $185 |
| Kiernan Shipka | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $171 |
| Sadie Sink | 0.4% | -0.4 pts | $223 |
| Emily Rudd | 0.3% | -0.2 pts | $181 |
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $1.0K · Liquidity $3.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ No actor chosen by end of 2027 ■ Emma Myers ■ McKenna Grace · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify.
If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify.
If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds · Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 11, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No actor chosen by end of 2027 at 38%, followed by Emma Myers at 34%, McKenna Grace at 19.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Gwen Stacy live-action film actress? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress/">Gwen Stacy live-action film actress? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Gwen Stacy live-action film actress? — Polymarket odds”, October 11, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress.svg" alt="Gwen Stacy live-action film actress? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog