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Science & Space Odds on Polymarket
Updated November 7, 2026 · 105 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Science, space launches, climate, pandemics and other science questions. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Science & Space markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 2.5% | +0.3 pts | $183.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 87.5% | -1.0 pts | $96.9K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files? | By December 31 78.1% | -1.3 pts | $13.7K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% | +3.0 pts | $13.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? | December 31, 2028 20% | -9.0 pts | $13.3K | Jan 1, 2029 |
| OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 55.5% | +0.5 pts | $10.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | ↑5.5k 98.7% | +1.2 pts | $7.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| FDA approves skin cancer vaccine? | By December 31, 2027 64.5% | -2.0 pts | $6.9K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted? | By June 30, 2027? 87% | +3.5 pts | $6.3K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30? | 6.00 ft or more 59.6% | -17.3 pts | $3.7K | Dec 2, 2026 |
| Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 29.5% | -4.0 pts | $3.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed? | By June 30 91% | — | $3.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Measles cases in U.S. by November 30? | 5600+ 96.5% | +12.5 pts | $1.3K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 67.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| First snow of the 2026 season | Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 94.2% | -0.9 pts | $1.1K | Dec 4, 2026 |
| How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 2 - November 8? | 0 80.5% | +10.5 pts | $967 | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? | Yes 84% | -4.5 pts | $952 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes 7.0% | +5.2 pts | $838 | Mar 1, 2027 |
| What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? | Over 2.5 69% | -2.5 pts | $805 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) | >1.54ºC 41.5% | -14.5 pts | $737 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2.4% | -0.2 pts | $727 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30? | 6.5+ 91.2% | -4.1 pts | $678 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? | December 31, 2028 30.5% | -6.5 pts | $669 | Jan 1, 2029 |
| Precipitation in Hong Kong in November? | 95mm+ 36.5% | +19.5 pts | $615 | Feb 8, 2027 |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | November 30, 2026 91.8% | -1.7 pts | $606 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $564 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 2 - November 8? | ≤6 83.5% | +11.5 pts | $551 | Nov 9, 2026 |
| How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15? | ≤6 27% | — | $533 | Nov 16, 2026 |
| Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? | Yes 10.9% | -2.5 pts | $418 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced? | By December 31, 2027 68.5% | — | $400 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? | December 31, 2027 60% | -1.0 pts | $304 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season? | Hawaii 3.8% | +0.9 pts | $292 | Dec 8, 2026 |
| Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix? | Yes 68% | -4.5 pts | $243 | Nov 16, 2026 |
| When will the next Atlantic or Pacific hurricane form? | November 7 to 11 51% | +23.5 pts | $227 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? | 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft 93% | +1.0 pts | $214 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 1.9% | -0.1 pts | $179 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30? | 1.00 to 2.99 ft 74.8% | +1.1 pts | $179 | Dec 2, 2026 |
| Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? | Ramsey Number R(5,5) 24.5% | -1.0 pts | $167 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 78.3% | +3.4 pts | $156 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4? | By November 30, 2026 51% | +1.5 pts | $155 | Dec 1, 2026 |
65 smaller markets are not shown; all 105 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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More Tech & AI odds
AI (185) · OpenAI (80) · Anthropic (76) · Big Tech (174) · Elon Musk (69)
Frequently asked questions
What are the Science & Space odds on Polymarket today?
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 105 live Science & Space markets with $379.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 2.5%), followed by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (SpaceX 87.5%), Trump declassifies new UFO files? (By December 31 78.1%).
How many Science & Space markets are open on Polymarket?
105 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
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Polymarket View, “Science & Space odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/science/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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