How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? — Polymarket Odds

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.

If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:

The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.

Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).

The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:

Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.

Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.

Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.

This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

The resolution source will be video footage.