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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: November 1, 2026
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 12.1% (No 87.9%), with $632.2K traded in total and $12.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12.1% | +2.9 pts | $632.2K |
| No | 87.9% | -2.9 pts | — |
Total volume $632.2K · 24h volume $12.8K · Liquidity $5.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 12.1% (No 87.9%), with $632.2K traded in total and $12.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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