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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: February 15, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Empire State of Mind at 21%, followed by Encore at 20.3%, Public Service Announcement at 16.5%. The market has $22.0K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empire State of Mind | 21% | +4.5 pts | $1.2K |
| Encore | 20.3% | -1.9 pts | $8.6K |
| Public Service Announcement | 16.5% | +1.0 pts | $6.2K |
| Crazy in Love | 14.7% | -0.1 pts | $74 |
| Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem) | 8.3% | -0.1 pts | $323 |
| Show Me What You Got | 8.1% | +0.3 pts | $965 |
| Izzo (H.O.V.A.) | 6.0% | +0.2 pts | $763 |
| On to the Next One | 4.8% | -0.1 pts | $798 |
| Holy Grail | 3.1% | -2.5 pts | $2.6K |
| 99 Problems | 2.5% | -1.0 pts | $35 |
| Apeshit | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $35 |
| Can I Get A... | 1.5% | -0.7 pts | $115 |
| Run This Town | 1.5% | -1.1 pts | $35 |
| N****s in Paris | 1.5% | -1.4 pts | $35 |
| Young Forever | 1.5% | -1.1 pts | $35 |
10 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $22.0K · 24h volume $5.7K · Liquidity $109.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Empire State of Mind ■ Encore ■ Public Service Announcement · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027.
To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Empire State of Mind at 21%, followed by Encore at 20.3%, Public Service Announcement at 16.5%. The market has $22.0K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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