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Gavin Newsom odds on Polymarket

Updated November 9, 2026 · 14 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Gavin Newsom appears in 14 live Polymarket markets with $47.82M traded. The biggest: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 at 8.5%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 7.6%; Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? at 7.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Gavin Newsom

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20288.5%-2.3 pts$28.42M2028-11-08
Presidential Election Winner 20287.6%+0.5 pts$19.13M2028-11-08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?7.5%—$99.9K2027-01-01
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?0.1%-0.1 pts$72.7K2027-01-01
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?11.5%—$70.8K2027-01-01
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?82%—$8.5K2028-01-01
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?13%-2.3 pts$4.7K2029-01-01
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?1.8%-0.5 pts$4.0K2026-11-30
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?1.1%-1.6 pts$3.2K2026-11-30
Democratic VP Nominee 20281.5%-0.1 pts$2.9K2028-11-08
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?0.1%—$6932027-04-01
Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 20282.9%+0.1 pts$872028-02-02
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?50.5%-1.0 pts$02027-04-01
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?65.5%-1.0 pts$02027-07-01

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Gavin Newsom's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/gavin-newsom.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Cite this data

Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Gavin Newsom odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/gavin-newsom/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Gavin Newsom's odds on Polymarket?

Gavin Newsom appears in 14 live Polymarket markets with $47.82M traded. The biggest: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 at 8.5%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 7.6%; Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? at 7.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Gavin Newsom?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: 8.5% with $28.42M traded, as of November 9, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds

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