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Updated October 11, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: January 8, 2027
As of October 11, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 85mm+ at 23%, followed by 40-50mm at 19.6%, 30-40mm at 18%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $5.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85mm+ | 23% | +7.0 pts | $4.6K |
| 40-50mm | 19.6% | +0.9 pts | $2.5K |
| 30-40mm | 18% | -1.5 pts | $1.6K |
| 50-70mm | 13.2% | -0.3 pts | $1.5K |
| 20-30mm | 12% | -3.5 pts | $951 |
| 70-85mm | 8.3% | +0.5 pts | $419 |
| <20mm | 7.5% | -13.0 pts | $8.5K |
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $5.2K · Liquidity $5.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 85mm+ ■ 40-50mm ■ 30-40mm · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Weather odds
As of October 11, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 85mm+ at 23%, followed by 40-50mm at 19.6%, 30-40mm at 18%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $5.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 8, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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