Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 39.5%, followed by Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero at 36.5%, Santiago Nieto Castillo at 22.8%. The market has $26.3K in total volume and $16 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera | 39.5% | -1.0 pts | $3.4K |
| Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero | 36.5% | -0.5 pts | $7.7K |
| Santiago Nieto Castillo | 22.8% | -0.9 pts | $1.5K |
| Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri | 5.3% | +4.8 pts | $638 |
| Teresa Calzada Rovirosa | 2.7% | +0.6 pts | $530 |
| Abigail Arredondo Ramos | 2.5% | +1.8 pts | $493 |
| Laura Patricia Polo Herrera | 1.8% | +0.4 pts | $606 |
| Josué Guerrero Trápala | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $553 |
| Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes | 0.8% | — | $2.7K |
| Ricardo Astudillo Suárez | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $565 |
| Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez | 0.4% | +0.3 pts | $671 |
| José María Tapia Franco | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $558 |
| Paulina Aguado Romero | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $644 |
| Gilberto Herrera Ruiz | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $568 |
| Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $670 |
6 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $26.3K · 24h volume $16 · Liquidity $317.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera ■ Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero ■ Santiago Nieto Castillo · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 39.5%, followed by Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero at 36.5%, Santiago Nieto Castillo at 22.8%. The market has $26.3K in total volume and $16 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Querétaro Governor Election Winner odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner/">Querétaro Governor Election Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Querétaro Governor Election Winner — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/queretaro-governor-election-winner.svg" alt="Querétaro Governor Election Winner odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog