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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Eugenio Segura Vázquez at 80.5%, followed by Rafael Marín Mollinedo at 2.5%, Reyna Tamayo Carballo at 2.5%. The market has $42.3K in total volume and $13 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Segura Vázquez | 80.5% | -1.0 pts | $11.9K |
| Rafael Marín Mollinedo | 2.5% | -1.5 pts | $10.5K |
| Reyna Tamayo Carballo | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $714 |
| Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $9.0K |
| Marybel Villegas Canché | 1.1% | — | $2.5K |
| José Luis Pech Várguez | 0.8% | — | $565 |
| Estefanía Mercado Asencio | 0.8% | — | $2.2K |
| Amalia Castilla Madrid | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $503 |
| Lidia Rojas Fabro | 0.4% | — | $480 |
| Alexa Murguía Trujillo | 0.4% | — | $662 |
| Mayuli Martínez Simón | 0.4% | — | $567 |
| Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux | 0.4% | — | $538 |
| Pedro José Flota Alcocer | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $550 |
| Leslie Hendricks Rubio | 0.3% | — | $485 |
| Filiberto Martínez Méndez | 0.1% | — | $611 |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $42.3K · 24h volume $13 · Liquidity $336.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Eugenio Segura Vázquez ■ Rafael Marín Mollinedo ■ Reyna Tamayo Carballo · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Eugenio Segura Vázquez at 80.5%, followed by Rafael Marín Mollinedo at 2.5%, Reyna Tamayo Carballo at 2.5%. The market has $42.3K in total volume and $13 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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