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Updated October 19, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: October 31, 2026
As of October 19, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑26M at 2.4%, followed by ↑25M at 1.7%, ↑24M at 0.7%. The market has $22.8K in total volume and $6.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑26M | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $4.5K |
| ↑25M | 1.7% | -4.3 pts | $8.9K |
| ↑24M | 0.7% | -8.2 pts | $7.1K |
| ↑27M | 0.7% | — | $2.3K |
Total volume $22.8K · 24h volume $6.2K · Liquidity $2.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↑26M ■ ↑25M ■ ↑24M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's daily global YouTube view count for any single day in October 2026 is reported at or above the specified number by market expiry. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will consider figures reported for all calendar days within the specified timeframe, including revisions to those figures, until market expiry.
This market will expire at the earliest of: (i) the first release of the figure for the final specified calendar day; OR (ii) the seventh day after the final specified calendar day, 11:59 PM ET.
Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count.
The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts on Taylor Swift's artist profile published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F0dl567).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 19, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑26M at 2.4%, followed by ↑25M at 1.7%, ↑24M at 0.7%. The market has $22.8K in total volume and $6.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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