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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Big Walk at 43%, followed by Mina the Hollower at 33.5%, Mewgenics at 6.5%. The market has $75.7K in total volume and $57 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Walk | 43% | -1.0 pts | $12.1K |
| Mina the Hollower | 33.5% | +0.5 pts | $14.7K |
| Mewgenics | 6.5% | -1.5 pts | $9.5K |
| Meccha Chameleon | 5.6% | +1.9 pts | $15.3K |
| Mixtape | 3.7% | -0.9 pts | $1.5K |
| Cairn | 3.4% | -0.5 pts | $3.1K |
| Order of the Sinking Star | 2.5% | -0.6 pts | $2.1K |
| Esoteric Ebb | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| Fields of Mistria | 0.9% | — | $960 |
| Mouse: P.I. For Hire | 0.7% | — | $1.6K |
| Replaced | 0.7% | — | $1.5K |
| Witchbrook | 0.7% | — | $1.1K |
| MIO: Memories in Orbit | 0.4% | — | $1.2K |
| Vampire Crawlers | 0.4% | — | $1.1K |
| Reanimal | 0.2% | — | $992 |
9 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $75.7K · 24h volume $57 · Liquidity $22.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Big Walk ■ Mina the Hollower ■ Mewgenics · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Big Walk at 43%, followed by Mina the Hollower at 33.5%, Mewgenics at 6.5%. The market has $75.7K in total volume and $57 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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