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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: November 30, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Other at 30.1%, followed by Gonzalo at 22.1%, Hanna at 21.4%. The market has $44.0K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K |
| Gonzalo | 22.1% | -9.4 pts | $4.1K |
| Hanna | 21.4% | -2.9 pts | $954 |
| Isaias | 11.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.7K |
| Josephine | 4.0% | +0.4 pts | $934 |
| Kyle | 3.7% | -0.1 pts | $975 |
| Fay | 2.7% | — | $15.0K |
| Edouard | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $4.7K |
| Leah | 1.1% | — | $868 |
| Dolly | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $4.3K |
| Cristobal | 0.2% | — | $3.1K |
| Paulette | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $955 |
| Marco | 0.2% | — | $635 |
| Omar | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $747 |
| Vicky | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $728 |
5 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $44.0K · 24h volume $2.6K · Liquidity $20.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Other ■ Gonzalo ■ Hanna · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Science & Space odds · Weather odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Other at 30.1%, followed by Gonzalo at 22.1%, Hanna at 21.4%. The market has $44.0K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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