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Resolved market · Category: Other markets · Market end date: November 30, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Isaias, after $83.2K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaias | 100% | +4.8 pts | $10.1K |
| Fay | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $17.7K |
| Other | 0.0% | -3.1 pts | $6.9K |
| Edouard | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $6.5K |
| Gonzalo | 0.0% | — | $5.3K |
| Hanna | 0.0% | — | $4.8K |
| Cristobal | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $4.6K |
| Dolly | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $4.5K |
| Josephine | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $4.2K |
| Kyle | 0.0% | -3.1 pts | $3.3K |
| Nana | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $3.1K |
| Paulette | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $2.5K |
| Marco | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $2.4K |
| Omar | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $2.1K |
| Leah | 0.0% | — | $1.9K |
5 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $83.2K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Science & Space odds · Weather odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Isaias, after $83.2K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is November 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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