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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Andy Jassy - Amazon at 6.6%, followed by Sundar Pichai - Google at 6.2%, Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 6.2%. The market has $715.9K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Cook - Apple (settled) | 100% | +74.5 pts | $417.0K |
| Andy Jassy - Amazon | 6.6% | +1.2 pts | $29.4K |
| Sundar Pichai - Google | 6.2% | -0.4 pts | $41.3K |
| Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | 6.2% | +0.1 pts | $85.3K |
| Dan Clancy - Twitch | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $44.3K |
| Sam Altman - OpenAI | 3.2% | -1.2 pts | $98.6K |
Total volume $715.9K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $5.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Andy Jassy - Amazon ■ Sundar Pichai - Google ■ Brian Armstrong - Coinbase · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Andy Jassy - Amazon at 6.6%, followed by Sundar Pichai - Google at 6.2%, Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 6.2%. The market has $715.9K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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