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Updated October 8, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 8, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Rebeca Grynspan at 45.9%, followed by Rafael Grossi at 36.5%, Achim Steiner at 29.6%. The market has $86.0K in total volume and $630 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 45.9% | -3.6 pts | $5.8K |
| Rafael Grossi | 36.5% | +27.0 pts | $23.9K |
| Achim Steiner | 29.6% | +5.8 pts | $2.6K |
| Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 28.2% | +4.1 pts | $2.7K |
| Kristalina Georgieva | 27.7% | +4.8 pts | $1.9K |
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 12.5% | -0.8 pts | $3.1K |
| Jacinda Ardern | 3.9% | — | $1.9K |
| Michelle Bachelet | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $28.4K |
| Amina Mohammed | 1.1% | — | $3.9K |
| Mia Mottley | 1.1% | — | $2.1K |
| Bruno Donat | 1.0% | — | $2.4K |
| Alicia Bárcena | 0.5% | — | $2.1K |
| Vuk Jeremić | 0.1% | — | $2.6K |
| David Choquehuanca | <0.1% | — | $2.6K |
Total volume $86.0K · 24h volume $630 · Liquidity $3.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Rebeca Grynspan ■ Rafael Grossi ■ Achim Steiner · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of October 8, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Rebeca Grynspan at 45.9%, followed by Rafael Grossi at 36.5%, Achim Steiner at 29.6%. The market has $86.0K in total volume and $630 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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